Season Record ATS: 6-5
Patriots 7.5 vs. Bengals
Patriots are 4-1 ATS this season, and this is the first home game with Tom Brady back. I’m taking the Patriots at home against anybody until further notice.
Cowboys +4.5 @ Packers
What’s a 7:00 a.m. flight to Lambeau without taking the Cowboys? Dallas has that 2014 feel to them this year, and this should be a really good game. I’m a firm believer that Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback on the planet, but he hasn’t been playing like it. Dallas is certainly playing like they have the best offensive line in the league, and that’s where the game should be won.
Chiefs -1.5 @ Raiders
Chiefs swept the Raiders last year and have won five of their last six against them. Andy Reid is 15-2 off bye weeks, and I think the Raiders run has to come to an end sometime.
Seahawks -6.5 vs. Falcons
Similarly to the Chiefs game, I like the Seahawks off the bye against a team that is on a roll lately. The Seahawks are due for a breakout performance, and I think the bye week gave Russell Wilson (ankle) a lot of rest he desperately needed.