I’m going to post a bunch of prop bets courtesy of Oddsshark, and I want to offer some plays that jump out to me.
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER
Julio Jones -150
LeGarrette Blount -150
Julian Edelman -125
Mohamed Sanu +160
- A couple of names jump out. I think Blount is in for a big day, and I love him to score a touchdown in this game. -150 is a lot of juice to lay, but I think it’s a good bet.
- As good as Julio Jones is, I prefer Mohamed Sanu here, who has way better odds at +160; he’s been the go-to guy in the red zone, and I expect him to get a good opportunity to catch a Super Bowl touchdown Sunday.
LeGarrette Blount: OVER 60.5 rushing yards
- The Falcons have a weak run defense, and they’ll have their hands full with Brady and the Patriots passing attack as it is. Blount has been relatively quiet in the postseason, but I’d be surprised if we didn’t see a heavy dose of him in this game, at least in the second half. He had a great season and he’ll finish it strong.
Longest Reception for Chris Hogan: OVER 21.5 yards
- Hogan is coming off his best NFL game, and I doubt he’ll exceed those numbers (9 catches 180 yards). But I think he’s good for a big play or two against the Falcons.
Matt Ryan: 2nd quarter TD Pass (-150)
- Obviously not the greatest odds, but I think Ryan and the Falcons will find a groove in the 2nd quarter. The big-game nerves should be gone, and they should have a better idea of what the Patriots are throwing at them on defense. The Falcons offense was historically this year; I’d be shocked if they don’t settle in and find the end zone at least once in the 2nd quarter.
Julio Jones: OVER 6.5 receptions (-140)
- I’m not so sure Julio will explode for over 100 yards, but I think the Falcons will certainly find a way to get him involved early and often. As I wrote in my preview, the Falcons’ offense hasn’t been reliant on the best receiver in the league this season; Ryan has had success throwing to multiple receivers. But I think, in this type of game, they will have extra incentive to get their best threat the football. Patriots will focus on the big plays, and that should open up a few easy receptions underneath for Jones.