Green Bay Packers (+5) @ Atlanta Falcons
I took the Giants with the points in the Wild Card Round, then obviously the Cowboys -4 last week in the divisional round. I’ve learned my lesson and won’t bet against Rodgers again. A stat I found interesting, though, was Rodgers’ record against Dan-Quinn-led defenses: 0-3, two losses in 2014 when Quinn was the defensive coordinator of the Seahawks, and one loss earlier this year to the Falcons. I’m not buying into that as much as I am the Packers’ injuries on both sides of the ball.; they are banged up at the receiver position and secondary. Regardless, I’m riding with the best quarterback in the league. Rodgers advances.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+6) @ New England Patriots
For the 13th time in 14 years, the AFC QB in the Super Bowl will feature Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger, or Peyton Manning. This year, it will obviously feature either Brady or Ben, and I think it’ll be Brady. The Patriots own the Steelers (and pretty much the entire AFC), and I think Belichick will find a way to shut down Bell or Brown and limit the Steelers’ offense. Big Ben hasn’t been too sharp on the road this season, and if that was different, I would seriously consider the Steelers. I think they can cover the spread, but I don’t think they’ll win this game.